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2024-12-13 11:37:15

My thinking is that the current market does not have the characteristics of ending the rally. Although the A50 futures index fell more than 3%, the intraday index of A shares did not turn green.During the late decline of the market, individual stocks are still rising more and falling less. As long as there is no bad news in the evening, tomorrow's emotional side is expected to be more favorable to the market after it opens higher and goes lower today.The high opening and low going of the index are nothing more than the T+1 trading mechanism, quantitative funds, poor short-term market trends and other reasons, resulting in a high probability of the stock market opening after news stimulation and low going due to emotional influence.


In addition, today's market, if we take a step back, will cover the gap on Wednesday, and it will still be difficult to have an impact on this round of gains.The first message, today, the morning market in call auction opened 2.58% higher, which is more common in the historical market. A-shares have opened more than 230 times since 1990, and the increase of 2%-3% has dropped to 55%. If it is more than 4% higher than that on November 8, the winning rate is less than 50%.Write it at the end


It shows that the higher the market is, the higher the probability of the index going high and low is.Judging from the current trend, I predict that the market is likely to evolve in the first trend. If the gap is not covered, it is better, indicating that the strong market rally can further open up the upside, cover the gap, and pay attention to support at 3400 points.Has the market ended this round of rise?

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